國外的新冠肺炎無症狀竟那麼多?

2020-04-18 22:18 發佈
有可能最後就變成感冒一樣的存在, 病毒毒性變弱.

毒性強的宿主會死亡, 留下毒性弱的.
毒性變弱?也有可能是小時候得過了,長大再碰到相同的病毒就還好
以前的幾種冠狀病毒也可能是這樣保留下來的,剛開始傳播的時候也是造成慘重的死亡,但歷史沒有紀錄

48:18 — Humans have only defined these common-cold causing coronaviruses as ones causing mild disease in recent history. In reality they all originated in other animals at some point. Because of that, we do not know how severe the disease caused by them was when they first infected humans.

“We have no idea how severe they were in adult & naive-adult populations. Most likely they weren’t mild. They were probably brutal disease just like SARS, MERS & SARS-2 are to adult individuals as they get older.

If that hypothesis is true, then the prediction would be that as SARS-2 goes around the globe and infects the adult population, we will become immune, & the virus will now preserve itself in the population by infecting young children who don’t get serious disease. As they grow up, they are pre-immune so they never get serious disease and SARS-2 will now be relegated to the role of being a benign common contemporary coronavirus who somehow lost its pathogenic potential. When the real reason it lost its pathogenic potential is all of the adults are immune.

If that’s the case then we have a 1 to 3 year pandemic that we will be facing until sufficient herd immunity occurs to drive the virus into this type of persistence mechanism.


Ralph Baric, PhD — Department of Microbiology and Immunology, UNC
到底這病毒是恐怖?是嚴重?
什麼時候才能結束啊!好煩!
tcgpolice wrote:
無症狀不知是否會傳染(恕刪)


不是國外無症狀的多,只是台灣沒有普篩罷了。
國外數據都60%了,台灣無症狀只有5%,你相信嗎?
所以說,千萬不要賭運氣,可以參考以下新聞。

https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20200418003521-260408?ctrack=mo_main_recmd_p04
面對新加坡人指責政府的防疫措施不足,導致病毒擴散,總理李顯龍夫人何晶17日在臉書上回應網民:「年輕人,別把話放進我嘴裡(歪曲我的話)!要我們國人回家,絕對是正確的事。」她也說「不只是新加坡,全球都低估了新冠肺炎無症狀也會傳播。」
colinucc wrote:
國外數據都60%了,台灣無症狀只有5%,你相信嗎?


台灣有篩檢的條件,無症狀會被送篩檢的,應該就少很多了
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