最近較熱門的話題。參考一下國外的看法,或許不用太悲觀。
by Kris Osborn
With U.S. help, Taiwan is building its own new, indigenous fleet of attack submarines to protect waters off its shores and better safeguard maritime passageways between the island and mainland China, a move which is being criticized, downplayed and dismissed by Chinese military analysts.
Following a celebration at one of Taiwan’s Southern ports commemorating the start of construction of Taiwanese “domestically developed” submarines, Chinese military analysts were quoted in a Chinese government-backed newspaper saying “the Taiwan island does not have what it takes to build advanced submarines, and even with U.S. help, the underwater vehicles could not make waves in the Taiwan Straits, and may suffer from technical difficulties that hinder combat capabilities.”
These remarks stand in stark contrast to comments from a Taiwanese leader cited in the paper saying the emerging submarines will help prevent hostile ships from “encircling Taiwan.” The Chinese experts quoted also questioned Taiwan’s industrial capacity to build the submarines, even though the island of Taiwan has long been known for having a range of production facilities as well as the technical knowledge to move forward.
A Chinese military analyst was quoted in the paper saying “…with the help of the US, which could involve technology transfer, the island could eventually make the submarines work, but due to the inexperience of the island’s industry and the complexity of submarine development, the submarines could suffer technical difficulties that hinder their combat capabilities.”
The expert also claimed that Chinese Y-8 sub-hunting planes could easily monitor the activities of new Taiwanese submarines. “Many mainland warships are equipped with towed sonar systems, anti-submarine warfare helicopters and torpedoes, plus Y-8 anti-submarine warfare aircraft,” the Chinese military analyst said in the paper.
The issue of U.S. technological help seems quite significant, as while the new submarines are not likely to fully mirror the U.S. Virginia-class attack boats, Taiwan could benefit substantially from U.S. technological sophistication when it comes to attack submarine technologies. The U.S. has in recent years been progressing rapidly with new attack submarine weapons, sonar, sensors, command and control and quieting technologies.
For example, new Taiwanese submarines could incorporate some of the quieting technologies now being built into Virginia-class boats, many of which were first prototyped years ago on the USS South Dakota, a now deployed Virginia-class submarine which began as a prototype test bed for a new generation of undersea technologies. While details related to many of these systems were naturally not available for security reasons, Navy leaders did explain that they included newer coating materials to lower a submarine’s acoustic signature and reduce the possibility of being detected by enemy sonar. The innovations also include newer kinds of propulsion technologies and command and control systems engineered to give modern U.S. attack submarines at technological edge over adversaries when it comes to reconnaissance, quiet coastal patrols or even surveil high-risk areas.
Taiwanese submarines could also benefit from U.S. innovations in the realm of firepower, as the U.S. Navy’s emerging Block V submarines are built with new, extended Virginia Payload Modules. Those modules are new 80-foot long sections of the submarines adding Tomahawk missiles to the boat’s overall firepower. Adding the modules brings the total number of Tomahawks on board a block V Virginia boat from twelve up to twenty-eight, a massive increase in firepower.
Moving beyond firepower, the greatest technological advantage Taiwan might gain from U.S. assistance might be found in the realm of command and control, given that the Virginia-class submarines operate with a modern Large Aperture Bow sonar array bringing greater range, signal fidelity and sensitivity to submarine sonar detection. This, coupled with computer enabled, fly-by-wire navigational and sensor controls, could give the new Taiwanese submarines an edge when it comes to conducting clandestine reconnaissance missions off the coast of contested areas in the South China Sea or near mainland China.
None of this is to say that new Taiwanese submarines will incorporate all of these systems, as much of that likely remains to be seen, but rather to point out that, with U.S. input, new Taiwanese subs may have a range of advanced and highly impactful technologies to evaluate.
Kris Osborn is the defense editor for the National Interest. Osborn previously served at the Pentagon as a Highly Qualified Expert with the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Army—Acquisition, Logistics & Technology. Osborn has also worked as an anchor and on-air military specialist at national TV networks. He has appeared as a guest military expert on Fox News, MSNBC, The Military Channel, and The History Channel. He also has a Masters Degree in Comparative Literature from Columbia University.
VolvoS60 wrote:
最近較熱門的話題。參(恕刪)
這國家利益雜誌文章編輯建議說
美國可以幫助台灣用維吉尼亞級聲納 .感應器 .指揮控制及靜音等技術建造潛艦,還有潛艦新塗層材料降低聲學特徵及垂直發射系統也可以轉移到台灣自製潛艦上,還不錯期待有機會合作。
記得去年就有報導說後續潛艦會跟韓國kss-iii一樣裝上VLS, 目前開工潛艦是用6個船段焊接組成多加一節VLS模組船段設計加上台灣已有成熟雄二E 潛射版照理說會跟進發展怖署再邊生產邊改設計。

在台灣南部一個港口舉行慶祝活動慶祝台灣“國產”潛艇開始建造之後,中國軍方分析師在一份中國政府支持的報紙上被引述說:“台灣島沒有建造先進潛艇所需的資源,即使在美國的幫助下,水下航行器也無法在台灣海峽揮舞,並且可能會遭受阻礙作戰能力的技術難題。”
這些言論與該報援引台灣領導人的評論形成鮮明對比,該領導人稱新興的潛艇將有助於防止敵對船隻“包圍台灣”。引用的中國專家還質疑台灣建造潛艇的工業能力,儘管台灣島長期以來以擁有一系列生產設施和前進的技術知識而聞名。
文章援引一位中國軍事分析家的話說:“…在美國的幫助下,該島可能涉及技術轉讓,該島最終可以使潛艇正常工作,但是由於該島的工業經驗不足以及潛艇開發的複雜性,這些潛艇可能會遭受阻礙其作戰能力的技術難題。”
專家還聲稱,中國的Y-8潛艇可以很容易地監視台灣新型潛艇的活動。中國軍事分析師在論文中說:“許多大陸軍艦都配備了牽引聲納系統,反潛戰直升機和魚雷,以及Y-8反潛戰機。”
美國的技術幫助問題似乎非常重要,因為儘管新型潛艇不可能完全反映美國弗吉尼亞級的攻擊船,但台灣在攻擊潛艇技術方面可以從美國的技術精湛中受益匪淺。近年來,美國在新型攻擊潛艇武器,聲納,傳感器,指揮控制和靜音技術方面取得了飛速發展。
例如,新的台灣潛艇可以將目前正在建造的一些消音技術整合到弗吉尼亞級潛艇中,其中許多技術是幾年前在南達科他州號(USD South Dakota)上原型製作的,南達科他州現在已部署了弗吉尼亞級潛艇,最初是作為原型試驗台新一代海底技術。儘管出於安全原因自然無法獲得與許多此類系統有關的細節,但海軍領導人確實解釋說,它們包括更新的塗層材料,以降低潛艇的聲學特徵並減少被敵聲納探測到的可能性。這些創新還包括更新的推進技術和指揮與控制系統,旨在在偵察,安靜的沿海巡邏甚至監視高風險地區方面為現代美國攻擊潛艇提供超越對手的技術優勢。
台灣潛艇也可以從美國在火力領域的創新中受益,因為美國海軍新興的Block V潛艇是使用新的擴展的弗吉尼亞有效載荷模塊建造的。這些模塊是潛艇的新的80英尺長部分,為戰艦的整體火力增加了“戰斧”導彈。添加模塊後,V型弗吉尼亞船上的戰斧的總數將從12個增加到28個,火力大大增加。
超越火力,台灣可以從美國的援助中獲得最大的技術優勢,這可能會在指揮和控制領域中找到,因為弗吉尼亞級潛艇採用現代的大口徑弓聲納陣列操作,可提供更大的射程,信號保真度和靈敏度,水下聲納檢測。加上計算機啟用的電傳操縱的導航和傳感器控制功能,台灣的新型潛艇在進行南中國海或中國大陸附近有爭議地區的秘密偵察任務時,將具有優勢。
這並不是說新的台灣潛艇將採用所有這些系統,儘管仍有很多可能要觀察,但要指出的是,在美國的投入下,新的台灣潛艇可能會擁有一系列先進且影響巨大的潛艇。評估技術。
克里斯·奧斯本(Kris Osborn)是《國家利益》的國防編輯。奧斯本以前曾在五角大樓擔任陸軍助理部長辦公室(採購,物流與技術)辦公室的高素質專家。奧斯本還曾在國家電視台擔任主持人和廣播軍事專家。他曾作為福克斯新聞,MSNBC,軍事頻道和歷史頻道的特邀軍事專家出現。他也有一個
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