那么，美国人说的呢？
Development Fighter Threat Excursion China’s continued development of fighter weapon systems will almost certainly have significant impacts on Taiwan’s air force structure options. We examined the impact of one specific developmental system: the J-11B upgrade (J-16), armed with improved PL-15 AAMs. T he results of this sensitivity analysis are shown in Figures 3.8 through 3.10. The combined evolutionary improvements in Chinese radar, EW, and AAM performance could seriously degrade the survivability of legacy fourth-generation fighters either in service today or part of a future force option being considered for Taiwan.
It is plausible that only fifth-generation fighters, such as the F-22 and JSF, will be able to counter a numerically superior fourth-generation “plus” fighter, such as J-16, if operated by a determined and competent pilot.
