一個今年主宰MLB的投手
但是最近頻頻被局數限制牽制住
看來今年國民進季後賽應該不成問題了
(目前戰績全MLB最好)
季後賽先發投手輪值:小史+Gio+Zim+Jackson
絕對比Gio+Zim+Jackson+屌歪了來的好用
光看前三大先發今年的成績有多可怕就有多可怕
試想今年將是奪冠機率高的一年
(不是每年都能有像今年一樣的戰績跟戰力)
國民會捨得放棄球團首冠的機會嗎
我是贊成小史一直投下去就行了
這160的局數一點根據也沒有
看張大帥開始控制的那樣反而愈來愈差
不然就詐傷但保持節奏等季後賽再復出
如果國民能拿下冠軍的話
也許大樹哥還再撈到一枚冠軍戒指
創下第一個兩聯盟都能拿到冠軍戒指的亞洲人也不一定
劉肯尼 wrote:
那你就錯了, 這是多...(恕刪)
關於那個.. 尚有爭議.
請讀 Yahoo Sports! Strasburg's innings limit is not rooted in science
幾個重點:
Shutting down Strasburg for the remainder of the season, as the Nationals plan on doing sometime within Stephen Strasburg might only pitch another 35 innings this season. (AP)the next month, is a decision based neither in science nor logic. It's a guess. That is all. The Nationals are guessing it is good to limit Strasburg's sewn-together elbow to somewhere in the 160- to 180-inning range in his first full season post-Tommy John surgery.
They are guessing because the hard, study-backed evidence to say whether that's actually the case does not exist, and because when it comes to the pitching arm, there is no such thing as logic
Catastrophic injuries tend to hit the 25-and-under population with greater frequency than their wizened counterparts. The 25-and-younger group represents 28.5 percent of the 592 pitchers who have thrown in the major leagues this season. Of the 29 Tommy John surgeries this year, 12 – or 41.4 percent – have been on pitchers between 21 and 25.
Pitch counts arrived in full force around the mid-1990s, and in less than a decade the tickers in every stadium grew into an ever-present watchdog on managers. Anger the pitch-count gods and the wrath of Tommy John will strike down on thee.
"And what have pitch counts done?" one trainer asked. "What is the reason you do pitch counts? To protect the pitcher's arm. The DL will tell you it has not protected the pitcher's arm."
His point: It's not science, not yet, not as long as a study or a hypothesis that has been replicated outside of a laboratory continues to elude those in charge of the game.
Of course young pitchers run a risk of getting injured. They're young pitchers. Their injury rate is already 50 percent. Correlation is not causation.
The Nationals are potentially jeopardizing their fantastic 2012 season to do something that they have absolutely no idea will protect his arm from further damage.
The closest thing to proof about the efficacy of innings limits is among teenagers. Studies have shown pitchers who throw more innings are likelier to blow out their elbow or shoulder. There is no specific number of innings. It's simply a caution to limit the workload on young arms – which, biomechanists admit, are entirely different beasts from strong, developed adult limbs.
總歸一句, 限制局數這個理論至今, 仍然還是一個假設性的理論. 實驗數據小到不行及實驗結果有好如Jordan Zimmerman, 但也有像Zumaya那奇怪的例子.
不難理解 Washington 對 Strasburg做出的決定, 不過就如文中所說, 這同時也是一個賭注.
見人見智.
劉肯尼 wrote:
那你就錯了, 這是多...(恕刪)
我想每個人手臂能接受的能力不同
不能用160局一概而論
就像大聯盟通用的先發100球的限制
每個投手每場不見得都能投到100球就球威下降
也有投手像韋帥每場120球還是能投出100mile的球速
難不成投到161局手就會應聲斷裂嗎
那每年破200局以上的投手不就早就廢了
如果真擔心小史的玻璃手臂
那應該現在就讓他球季結束
而不是還得先發投3,4場球來挑戰所謂的160極限
如果真要做的話
那還不如控制他現在每場只能投五局至多八十球
一定遠比那160局來的有用
他做TJ手術時也沒投到160局
張大帥也說當時因為投一得休一的張大帥條款反而讓他無所適從
以國民的戰績穩進季後賽
當真能讓小史不上就不上嗎?
那還不如現在就讓大樹上來試試看能不能用好了....
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