MGM Mirage 和 MGM Home Entertainment 是不同的公司, 一家開賭場,一家拍電影. 我聽說拍電影的那一家傳出財務危機,快要破產了. 我上網查了一下他們的官網,找不到它們是否有互相持股. 請問那位大大有聽說...... 如果MGM Home Entertainment 宣佈破產, 股價跌到地嶽,就要衝進去賭一把. 就像GM,CIT....不但沒有馬上變壁紙,還會死貓跳. 可是,MGM Home Entertainment 好像沒有股票.
By David MacDougall 09/29/09 - 01:00 AM EDT Leave a Comment
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Six months ago, when Citigroup(C Quote) shares were bouncing between $2 and $3, investing in financial stocks looked like a suicide mission. Since then, the federal government has vowed to support major institutions and prevent executives' bad decisions from threatening the global economy. Government backing has made these stocks shrewd bets. Like Bank of America(BAC Quote), Citigroup has become safe because of its riskiness. Insane leverage and a portfolio of bad assets on its books have insulated the company from total collapse because its fall would trigger a chain reaction among small companies.
The U.S. government has become Citigroup's largest investor and therefore has plenty of incentives to push for its survival. Of the $45 billion Citigroup received from the Troubled Asset Relief Program, $25 billion was converted into stock. The government also agreed to cover 90% of the losses on a $335 billion portfolio after Citigroup handles the first $29 billion.
While Citigroup shares have dropped 34% this year to about $4.50, the company's operating performance has improved significantly. The company swung to a quarterly profit of 49 cents a share in June after posting a $2.44 loss in December. Analysts expect a 19-cent loss for the third quarter, the most positive prediction for Citigroup since the crisis began.
If the shares climb to $20 during the next five years, investors who got in today would enjoy an average annual return of 35%. That's a reasonable expectation considering that Bank of America shares have increased more than fivefold to $17 since March 6.
Citigroup has taken steps to strengthen its balance sheet, including cutting its debt by $237 billion during the first half. This trend, which probably continued into the third quarter, suggests that management has learned from the mistakes that nearly destroyed the company.
It's rare that a low-priced stock from a company with so many problems would fit in a risk-adverse portfolio. However, Citigroup shares could provide some of the growth that a conservative portfolio needs to beat the market. If the company gets its house in order under the government's watch, its shares could jump high and fast.
Government backing doesn't guarantee big returns; Fannie Mae(FNM Quote) and Freddie Mac(FRE Quote) shares have been trading for less than $2 for the past year. Still, a small investment in Citigroup could be very lucrative and relatively safe, but don't bet the farm.